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CGT modelling

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Status: Open, still live
Asked by: Senator the Hon. Matthew Canavan
Committee: Economics
Portfolio: Treasury
Agency: Department of the Treasury
Round: 2026-27 Budget estimates
Question No: BET234
Asked: 14 June 2026
Answer due: 23 July 2026

Question

1. Since Budget night, has Treasury prepared any additional CGT modelling, worked examples, scenario analysis or briefing material, including any post-Budget document provided externally? If yes, provide the date each document was prepared and to whom it was provided. 2. Has Treasury provided any post-Budget CGT modelling, worked examples or scenario analysis to journalists or any other external parties before publishing that material in full? If yes, identify the material and the date provided. 3. Will Treasury publish the full post-Budget CGT modelling, including assumptions, methodology, worked examples and any sensitivity analysis? 4. What inflation assumption was used in Treasury's public CGT examples? Did Treasury use a flat 3 per cent assumption or the Budget forecast path? If a flat 3 per cent assumption was used, why, and what is the impact on Treasury's headline examples if inflation is assumed to be 2.5 per cent rather than 3 per cent? 5. What separate modelling has Treasury undertaken by asset class, holding period and return profile, including for assets where returns are realised mainly through capital gains rather than annual income? 6. Has Treasury separately modelled the impact of the CGT changes on farming, start-ups and venture capital, or on other low-yield, capital-intensive assets? If yes, provide the results, assumptions and methodology. If not, why not?

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